July 18, 2022
Indications are that land auction activity will be good
during the 2022 pre and post-harvest sales seasons. With the normal slowdown of
land sales during spring planting and the early summer period coming to an end,
booking of auctions for late summer through the fall time frame are picking up
at Farmers National Company.
The number of sales and amount of land sold from now until
the close of 2022 will probably not equal the very active land market
experienced the last few months of 2021.
Quite a bit of additional selling then was prompted by anticipated tax
law changes coming in the following year which would have raised taxes and
lowered the net received from a sale or estate plan. Sales activity will more
than likely exceed what was seen during the slower land market years of
2015-2020.
Several reasons are prompting landowners, typically
estates, trusts, and recent inheritors, who had been thinking about selling
their land to move ahead with the sale sooner than later. Number one would be
the historically high sales prices at this time in the market. High prices
normally bring out more sellers. Another factor influencing when to sell for
landowners is the huge amount of uncertainty in several factors that influence
land values. One of the uncertainties is interest rates, how high and how soon
will rates move up. Shorter term uncertainties include weather, 2022 yields,
and what farm incomes will look like at the end of the year.
A number of additional landowners are making the decision
to sell in 2022. This is increasing the sale activity outlook for the next few
months. The demand or buying side of the equation has
been holding up well with farmer and investor interest remaining strong, but
time will tell if factors in the ag and general economy will change the demand
for land.
Randy
Dickhut
Senior Vice President - Real Estate Operations
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