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A Mixed Bag: How the 2025 Harvest Is Shaping US Agriculture

By Robert Regenwether, Area Vice President – Central Region

Weather Wins: A Cooperative Fall
After a growing season marked by extremes—from heat waves to heavy rains—the fall has delivered near-perfect harvesting conditions. Favorable conditions, including dry fields, mild temperatures, and minimal frost, have allowed combines to move quickly, reducing crop loss and maximizing efficiency.

"This is the kind of fall we hope for," said one grower. "We’re getting the crops out fast, and the quality is there."

Crop Progress: Strong Yields, Early Harvest
Corn: Maturity is ahead of average in many regions. Despite disease pressures like tar spot and southern rust, yields are holding strong.

Soybeans: Harvest is well underway, and while disease concerns like sudden death syndrome lingered earlier in the season, overall output remains solid.

Economic Pressures: The Hidden Struggle
Even with strong yields, farmers are facing tight margins:

  • Corn prices dropped to around $4/bushel, down from $7.00 in 2022.
  • Soybean prices dropped to $10/bushel, down from $14.00 in 2022.
  • Wheat prices have dropped to $5.00/bushel, down from $13.50 in 2022.
  • Input costs remain stubbornly high, squeezing profitability.

Storage issues are emerging, with some elevators prioritizing corn and even turning away soybeans due to export uncertainty.

"We’ve got the crop, but not the price," said a producer. "It’s frustrating."

Localized Challenges: Disease and Stress
Not all fields are thriving. Some regions have seen crop damage due to heat stress and disease outbreaks. These pockets of poor performance are complicating what would otherwise be considered a banner year.

Looking Ahead: Winter Wheat and Financial Uncertainty
Winter wheat planting is underway, but progress varies.

Pasture conditions are mixed, with some areas reporting poor health due to lingering drought effects. This seems to be particularly a concern in the eastern corn beltt

Farmer sentiment is cautious. Nearly half of surveyed producers express concern about long-term financial stability.

Final Thoughts: Resilience in American Agriculture
The 2025 fall harvest is a reminder of the resilience and complexity of US agriculture. Many farmers are hoping they can bushel their way out of the current negative economic climate with strong yields. The current political fight going on with tariffs has created even more uncertainty than normal; however, there is also talk coming out of Washington D.C. that additional government payments to producers may come to compensate for this.

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